Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave George Halcovage a 55% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Dan Meuser won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. George Halcovage — 55% model odds
  2. Dan Meuser — 15% model odds (won)
  3. Scott C. Uehlinger — 15% model odds
  4. Scattered — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts