Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Chrin a 42% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. John Chrin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. John Chrin — 42% model odds
2. John Chrin — 42% model odds (won)
3. Robert Kuniegel — 9% model odds
4. Joe Peters — 3% model odds
5. Scattered — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts