Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madeleine Dean an 82% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Madeleine Dean won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Madeleine Dean — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Shira Goodman — 6% model odds
  3. Joseph Hoeffel — 6% model odds
  4. Scattered — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts