Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dwight Evans an 82% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Dwight Evans won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dwight Evans — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Kevin Johnson — 9% model odds
  3. Scattered — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts