Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brendan F. Boyle an 84% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Brendan F. Boyle won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brendan F. Boyle — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 9% model odds
  3. Michele Lawrence — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts