Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dean N. Browning a 22% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Glenn Gt Thompson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Dean N. Browning — 22% model odds
  2. Marty Nothstein — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 11% model odds
  4. Pearl Kim — 11% model odds
  5. Brianna Johnston — 11% model odds
  6. Glenn Gt Thompson — 11% model odds (won)
  7. Scattered — 11% model odds
  8. Marty Nothstein — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts