Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Roger Ruggles a 12% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Susan Boser won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Roger Ruggles — 12% model odds
  2. Scattered — 12% model odds
  3. Susan Wild — 8% model odds
  4. John Morganelli — 8% model odds
  5. Greg Edwards — 8% model odds
  6. Rick Daugherty — 8% model odds
  7. David Clark — 8% model odds
  8. Mary Gay Scanlon — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts