Oregon House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kurt Schrader a 65% chance of winning the Oregon House 2018 primary. Kurt Schrader won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kurt Schrader — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Peter Wright — 17% model odds
  3. Scattered — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts