Oregon House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter A. Defazio a 76% chance of winning the Oregon House 2018 primary. Peter A. Defazio won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Peter A. Defazio — 76% model odds (won)
2. Court Boice — 5% model odds
3. Michael Polen — 5% model odds
4. Stefan G. Strek — 5% model odds
5. Scattered — 5% model odds
6. Art Robinson — 3% model odds
7. Jo Rae Perkins — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts