Oregon House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Earl Blumenauer a 75% chance of winning the Oregon House 2018 primary. Earl Blumenauer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Earl Blumenauer — 75% model odds (won)
2. Eric Hafner — 13% model odds
3. Ben Lavine — 5% model odds
4. Scattered — 5% model odds
5. Charles Rand Barnett — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts