Oregon House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jennifer Neahring a 30% chance of winning the Oregon House 2018 primary. Jamie Mcleod-Skinner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jennifer Neahring — 30% model odds
  2. Tim S. White — 18% model odds
  3. Jamie Mcleod-Skinner — 10% model odds (won)
  4. Michael Byrne — 10% model odds
  5. Scattered — 10% model odds
  6. Eric Burnette — 8% model odds
  7. James Crary — 8% model odds
  8. Raz Mason — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts