Oregon House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Suzanne Bonamici a 65% chance of winning the Oregon House 2018 primary. Scattered won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Suzanne Bonamici — 65% model odds
  2. Scattered — 35% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts