Oklahoma House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mallory Varner a 53% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2018 primary. Mary Brannon won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Mallory Varner — 53% model odds
2. Mary Brannon — 16% model odds (won)
3. Fred Gipson — 16% model odds
4. Roxann Klutts — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts