Oklahoma House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Markwayne Mullin an 89% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2018 primary. Markwayne Mullin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Markwayne Mullin — 89% model odds (won)
2. Jarrin Jackson — 4% model odds
3. John Mccarthy — 4% model odds
4. Brian Jackson — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts