Oklahoma House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Nichols a 78% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2018 primary. Jason Nichols won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jason Nichols — 78% model odds (won)
2. Clay Padgett — 8% model odds
3. Virginia Blue Jeans Jenner — 8% model odds
4. Elijah Mcintosh — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts