Ohio House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christina M. Hagan a 46% chance of winning the Ohio House 2018 primary. Anthony Gonzalez won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Christina M. Hagan — 46% model odds
  2. Anthony Gonzalez — 45% model odds (won)
  3. Michael Grusenmeyer — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts