Ohio House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grant Goodrich a 25% chance of winning the Ohio House 2018 primary. Susan Moran Palmer won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Grant Goodrich — 25% model odds
2. John Wilson — 25% model odds
3. Susan Moran Palmer — 13% model odds (won)
4. Tj Mulloy — 13% model odds
5. Mark Dent — 13% model odds
6. Aaron Godfrey — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts