Ohio House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carol O'Brien a 42% chance of winning the Ohio House 2018 primary. Troy Balderson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Carol O'Brien — 42% model odds
- Melanie Leneghan — 8% model odds
- Pat Manley — 8% model odds
- Joe Manchik — 8% model odds
- Troy Balderson — 5% model odds (won)
- Tim Kane — 5% model odds
- Kevin Bacon — 5% model odds
- Jon Halverstadt — 5% model odds