Ohio House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Ebben a 53% chance of winning the Ohio House 2018 primary. Vanessa Enoch won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Bill Ebben — 53% model odds
  2. Vanessa Enoch — 16% model odds (won)
  3. Ted Jones — 16% model odds
  4. Matthew J. Guyette — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts