New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juanita Perez Williams a 59% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Dana Balter won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Juanita Perez Williams — 59% model odds
2. Dana Balter — 23% model odds (won)
3. John M. Katko — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts