New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tracy Mitrano a 65% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Tracy Mitrano won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tracy Mitrano — 65% model odds (won)
2. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 10% model odds
3. Max Della Pia — 6% model odds
4. Linda Andrei — 6% model odds
5. Ian Golden — 6% model odds
6. Edward A. Sundquist — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts