New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tedra L. # Cobb a 30% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Dylan # Ratigan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Tedra L. # Cobb — 30% model odds
2. Tedra L. # Cobb — 30% model odds
3. Dylan # Ratigan — 16% model odds (won)
4. Katie # Wilson — 8% model odds
5. Patrick Nelson — 8% model odds
6. Scattered — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts