New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tedra L. Cobb a 26% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Tedra L. Cobb won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tedra L. Cobb — 26% model odds (won)
  2. Elise M. Stefanik — 16% model odds
  3. Patrick F. Nelson — 16% model odds
  4. Katie Wilson — 11% model odds
  5. Dylan Ratigan — 11% model odds
  6. Emily Martz — 11% model odds
  7. Don Boyajian — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts