New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Antonio # Delgado a 35% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Chad J. # Mcevoy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Antonio # Delgado — 35% model odds
  2. Antonio # Delgado — 35% model odds
  3. Bob # Cohen — 5% model odds
  4. Jeff Beals — 5% model odds
  5. Scattered — 5% model odds
  6. Chad J. # Mcevoy — 3% model odds (won)
  7. Erin Collier — 3% model odds
  8. Brian Flynn — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts