New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J. Faso a 40% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Antonio Delgado won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. John J. Faso — 40% model odds
2. Antonio Delgado — 39% model odds (won)
3. Pat Ryan — 3% model odds
4. Gareth Rhodes — 3% model odds
5. Brian Flynn — 3% model odds
6. Jeff Beals — 3% model odds
7. Dave Clegg — 3% model odds
8. Erin Collier — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts