New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eliot L. Engel an 82% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Eliot L. Engel won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eliot L. Engel — 82% model odds (won)
2. Jonathan Lewis — 11% model odds
3. Joyce N. Briscoe — 5% model odds
4. Derickson K. Lawrence — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts