New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carolyn B. Maloney an 84% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Carolyn B. Maloney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carolyn B. Maloney — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Suraj Patel — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts