New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Max N. Rose a 39% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Max N. Rose won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Max N. Rose — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Dan Donovan — 36% model odds
  3. Michael, Jr. Devito — 8% model odds
  4. Paul Sperling — 8% model odds
  5. Omar Vaid — 4% model odds
  6. Radhakrishna Mohan — 2% model odds
  7. Zach Emig — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts