New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Liuba Grechen Shirley a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Liuba Grechen Shirley won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Liuba Grechen Shirley — 50% model odds (won)
2. Peter T. # King — 44% model odds
3. Du Wayne Gregory — 3% model odds
4. Du Wayne # Gregory — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts