Nevada Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dean Heller a 43% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2018 primary. Dean Heller won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dean Heller — 43% model odds (won)
2. Sherry Brooks — 18% model odds
3. Tom Heck — 10% model odds
4. Of These Candidates — 10% model odds
5. Sarah Gazala — 10% model odds
6. Vic Harrell — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts