Nevada House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cresent Hardy a 48% chance of winning the Nevada House 2018 primary. Cresent Hardy won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cresent Hardy — 48% model odds (won)
2. Jeff Miller — 18% model odds
3. David Gibbs — 9% model odds
4. Bill Townsend — 9% model odds
5. Kenneth A. Wegner — 9% model odds
6. Mike Monroe — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts