Nevada House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Danny Tarkanian a 49% chance of winning the Nevada House 2018 primary. Danny Tarkanian won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Danny Tarkanian — 49% model odds (won)
  2. Scott Hammond — 27% model odds
  3. Eddie "Mistermago" Hamilton — 5% model odds
  4. David Mckeon — 4% model odds
  5. Michelle Mortensen — 3% model odds
  6. Annette Teijeiro — 3% model odds
  7. Patrick Carter — 3% model odds
  8. Stephanie "Bdybysteph" Jones — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts