Nevada House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark E. Amodei a 71% chance of winning the Nevada House 2018 primary. Mark E. Amodei won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark E. Amodei — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Ian Luetkehans — 20% model odds
  3. Joel Beck — 6% model odds
  4. Sharron Angle — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts