New Mexico House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Xochitl Torres Small an 86% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2018 primary. Xochitl Torres Small won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Xochitl Torres Small — 86% model odds (won)
  2. L. Madeline Hildebrandt — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts