New Mexico House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Antoinette Sedillo Lopez a 56% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2018 primary. Debra A. Haaland won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Antoinette Sedillo Lopez — 56% model odds
- Debra A. Haaland — 31% model odds (won)
- Damon P. Martinez — 3% model odds
- Paul D. Moya — 3% model odds
- Patrick M. Davis — 3% model odds
- Damian Lara — 3% model odds
- Jesse Andrew Heitner — 3% model odds