New Jersey Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Menendez a 76% chance of winning the New Jersey Senate 2018 primary. Robert Menendez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Menendez — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Lisa A. Mccormick — 12% model odds
  3. Tricia Flanagan — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts