New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mikie Sherrill a 78% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Mikie Sherrill won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mikie Sherrill — 78% model odds (won)
2. Mitchell H. Cobert — 8% model odds
3. Tamara Harris — 6% model odds
4. Mark Washburne — 4% model odds
5. Alison Heslin — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts