New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Jr., Pascrell an 87% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Bill Jr., Pascrell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill Jr., Pascrell — 87% model odds (won)
  2. William Henry — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts