New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Leonard Lance a 71% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Leonard Lance won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Leonard Lance — 71% model odds (won)
2. Lindsay C. Brown — 7% model odds
3. Raafat Barsoom — 7% model odds
4. Diane Moxley — 7% model odds
5. Gregg Mele — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts