New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Malinowski a 49% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Tom Malinowski won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Malinowski — 49% model odds (won)
2. Peter Jacob — 45% model odds
3. Goutam Jois — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts