New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank, Jr. Pallone an 87% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Frank, Jr. Pallone won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank, Jr. Pallone — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Javahn Walker — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts