New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J., Jr. Mccann a 54% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. John J., Jr. Mccann won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John J., Jr. Mccann — 54% model odds (won)
  2. Steven M. Lonegan — 46% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts