New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hirsh V. Singh a 29% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Seth Grossman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Hirsh V. Singh — 29% model odds
2. Samuel Fiocchi — 27% model odds
3. Robert D. Turkavage — 27% model odds
4. Seth Grossman — 18% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts