New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Van Drew a 63% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Jeff Van Drew won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Van Drew — 63% model odds (won)
2. Tanzira "Tanzie" Youngblood — 28% model odds
3. William Cunningham — 5% model odds
4. Nate Kleinman — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts