New Hampshire House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lynne Blankenbeker a 54% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2018 primary. Steven Negron won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Lynne Blankenbeker — 54% model odds
  2. Ann Mclane Kuster — 7% model odds
  3. Justin O'Donnell — 7% model odds
  4. Tom Alciere — 7% model odds
  5. Steven Negron — 5% model odds (won)
  6. Stewart I. Levenson — 4% model odds
  7. Robert Burns — 4% model odds
  8. Brian Belanger — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts