New Hampshire House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lynne Blankenbeker a 65% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2018 primary. Justin O'Donnell won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Lynne Blankenbeker — 65% model odds
2. Ann Mclane Kuster — 12% model odds
3. Steven Negron — 8% model odds
4. Justin O'Donnell — 5% model odds (won)
5. Tom Alciere — 5% model odds
6. Brian Belanger — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts