New Hampshire House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lynne Blankenbeker a 55% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2018 primary. Ann Mclane Kuster won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Lynne Blankenbeker — 55% model odds
  2. Ann Mclane Kuster — 7% model odds (won)
  3. Jay Mercer — 7% model odds
  4. Steven Negron — 6% model odds
  5. Scattered — 5% model odds
  6. Stewart I. Levenson — 5% model odds
  7. Robert Burns — 5% model odds
  8. Justin O'Donnell — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts