New Hampshire House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Pappas a 20% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2018 primary. Eddie Edwards won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Chris Pappas — 20% model odds
  2. Mark S. Mackenzie — 17% model odds
  3. Maura Sullivan — 10% model odds
  4. Andy Sanborn — 6% model odds
  5. Levi Sanders — 6% model odds
  6. Eddie Edwards — 5% model odds (won)
  7. Naomi Andrews — 5% model odds
  8. Andy Martin — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts