New Hampshire House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Pappas a 12% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2018 primary. Chris Pappas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Pappas — 12% model odds (won)
  2. Mark S. Mackenzie — 10% model odds
  3. Maura Sullivan — 10% model odds
  4. Andy Sanborn — 6% model odds
  5. Levi Sanders — 6% model odds
  6. Eddie Edwards — 5% model odds
  7. Naomi Andrews — 5% model odds
  8. Jeffory W. Denaro — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts