Nebraska House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adrian Smith an 81% chance of winning the Nebraska House 2018 primary. Adrian Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adrian Smith — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Arron Kowalski — 8% model odds
  3. Larry Lee Scott Bolinger — 8% model odds
  4. Kirk Penner — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts